Edward Miguel presents new findings from the Kenya General Equilibrium Study (KGES), a large-scale randomized evaluation of unconditional cash transfers launched with GiveDirectly in rural Siaya County. Moving beyond recipient-only impacts, the talk synthesizes evidence on economy-wide spillovers, local GDP multipliers, and price effects—showing substantial gains in business activity and household welfare alongside only modest inflation. Miguel also highlights new work on why multipliers arise (including underutilized capacity and labor indivisibilities), how impacts vary across households and what that implies for targeting, and striking evidence that cash transfers substantially reduced infant and under-five mortality during the transfer period—linked to increased use of hospital deliveries. The lecture concludes with emerging policy implications and how this evidence is being used to inform social protection debates beyond Kenya.
Talk
Cash Transfers, Development and Health: Emerging Lessons from the Kenya General Equilibrium Study(KGES)
Parkview, Royal Sonesta Hotel, 40 Edwin H. Land Blvd., Cambridge, MA
July 22, 2025
Can Cash Transfers Save Lives? Evidence from a Large-Scale Experiment in KenyaWorking PaperAfrican DevelopmentEducation and Human CapitalHealth2025
General Equilibrium Effects of Cash Transfers: Experimental Evidence from KenyaPublished PaperAfrican DevelopmentOtherResearch Methodology2022
Can Cash Transfers Save Lives? Evidence from a Large-Scale Experiment in KenyaSociedad de Economistas del UruguayDecember 21, 2023
Do Cash Transfers Save Lives?Berkeley, CaliforniaNovember 19, 2024
Cash TalksForbes
Backstory: Edward Miguel and Paul Niehaus on the General Equilibrium Effects of Cash Transfers
Cash transfers have been thoroughly and rigorously shown to reduce poverty and improve livesGiveDirectly
Edward Miguel Kenya direct cash transfers interview on BBC World Service Radio Weekend programmeBBC World Service
Just money, with no strings attached’: how direct cash transfers are giving women in rural Kenya a new lifeThe Guardian
Study Finds Cash Transfers To Poor Have Positive Ripple EffectCBS
Study finds giving pregnant women cash transfers cuts infant mortality in halfUniversity of Oxford
A massive basic income experiment in Africa | Dennis Egger (Oxford University) Money & Macro Talks
Cash payments cut infant mortality in rural Kenya by halfNPR
Economists dropped $10M in rural Africa. It changed economic science foreverMoney & Micro
Edward Miguel on the Developing Practice of Development EconomicsSean Carroll's Mindscape Podcast
Researchers discover a secret weapon that saves babies’ lives. And it’s not medicalNPR

